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Lisa Croucher's avatar

but, the real question is:

are you picking your feet in poughkeepsie?

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Steven Klein's avatar

Tommy Tuberville is one to talk about safety. Newsflash (quoting AI): "Generally, New York City has a lower crime rate than Alabama, especially when considering homicide rates." Ditto Andy Ogles: "Generally, New York City has a lower violent crime rate compared to the state of Tennessee as a whole. Specific cities within Tennessee, like Memphis, can have significantly higher violent crime rates than New York City." How long can Republicans from far more violent states and cities (including the VP) get away with baldfaced lies about NYC being more dangerous than their own home states or home towns? Apparently a long time, when they can also convince the working class to vote for them, only to turn around and deprive millions of these working class voters of their Medicaid.

The ratio of immigrants in NYC at the peaks and valleys of crime is a brilliant point that will also be unfortunately lost among all those who irrationally fear immigration.

One note about murders that I learned from an episode of Malcolm Galdwell's Revisionist History is that a significant reason why murder rates have gone down is because the medical establishment has gotten so much better at evacuating shooting/stabbing victims and providing them with life-saving care, including the advent of 911. So, it's problematic to compare murder statistics over time, only gun crime statistics. But you can compare murder statistics between cities and states, and as we see, NYC is much safer than Alabama, Tennessee or Toledo, OH.

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Jonathan Weiler's avatar

Thanks for this, Steve. That's a very interesting point about how much better emergency medicine is now. Is that true just in the last 20-30 years? Regarding lying about the relative safety of blue and red areas - sigh.

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Steven Klein's avatar

I think it's been a steady trend going back to the advent of 911 in 1968. Gladwell had a great 4-part series on guns and Part 4 was on the assassination of RFK, Jr. (which I imagine had a traumatic and deleterious effect on RFK, Jr., as prominent politicians who have done massive harm were orphaned at young ages). If I recall correctly, the chances of him surviving the assassination attempt today would be around 40%, whereas it was 0% 1968, when the doctors did just about everything wrong to save his life. I recommend the whole series, but here is the link to Part 4: https://www.pushkin.fm/podcasts/revisionist-history/guns-part-4-moral-hazard

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Jonathan Weiler's avatar

Great, I'll have a listen,

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andrew ulyate's avatar

As mayoral politics in New York is ostensibly a Democrat affair, I had hoped to enjoy some writing free of Trump administration bashing – but no. Thou shalt not say a word against a Democrat.

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Delia Delion's avatar

I think you need to watch Dog Day Afternoon again. Carefully.

It's a film about connection far more than alienation. Chaos--and yes, there is plenty--doesn't equal decline.

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