6 Comments

Thanks for raising this issue because now is the time to start acting on an effective strategy. On this one, I strongly disagree with Bitecofer, if she thinks the strategy should be trying to "convince" people of the danger of Trump and the consequence of their vote. Convincing is a losing prospect because by nature it is trying to "conquer" (the Latin meaning of the word) the other person, and no one likes to feel they are being conquered.

Rather, the more effective strategy is "deep canvassing" as outlined in David McRaney's fantastic book "How Minds Change". In this strategy, the canvasser invites the voter to explore why they believe what they believe and challenge their own thinking through guided questions. The canvasser never actually presents a "convincing" argument. This strategy was effectively used in the 2020 election, and research indicates that about 3 in 100 voters switched to Biden. That may sound like a lot but it's enough to sway an election. The sooner Democrats start engaging in mass deep canvassing in those 6 swing states, the better.

As for what Biden can do to help himself, he needs to follow Reagan's strategy. If you look at their trajectories BTW, they are fairly similar - starting out with high inflation and bringing it down in time for the election. While he'll never get Reagan's landslide, he just has to keep asking Americans, “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” If yes, vote for me. If not, vote for the other guy. Considering that the vast majority of Americans are better off than they were 4 years ago, particularly among that 14% of undecided voters, it would be IMHO the most winning card Biden could play.

Expand full comment
Aug 1, 2023Liked by Jonathan Weiler

interesting take

Expand full comment
Aug 1, 2023Liked by Jonathan Weiler

I have to say that I think the Women's League of Voters should lay out the connect the dots here - they impact ALOT of voters.

And other organizations willing to advise voters - to "write clear descriptions" of candidates intentions and platforms. People look for those when they are uncertain.

Expand full comment

The institutions that you feel you must protect I think are ruining the country. Government is bloated beyond comprehension and the rot of incompetence and downright corruption is evident. Universities mirror that – indoctrination, virtue signaling, top-heavy and pompous. This is harsh and imprecise, but the frustration on our side is the same as you describe it. You bring a passion to me you when you say, "their attack on trans folks, especially kids." It makes me sick inside. We are trying to protect trans children from being put on drugs that block puberty or having irreversible surgeries. I blame the doctors, AMA, I consider them absolutely immoral.

I have zero animosity towards you, but I hate the sources of your news. You hate Fox, I hate the New York Times. You're impressed with the Elie Mystal, I admire Glenn Greenwald. Diametrically opposed – this is bad.

Expand full comment